Isikhulu esiphezulu sakwaTesla, u-Elon Musk, sithe ocingweni lokuhola: “Uma umba i-nickel ngendlela ephumelelayo nezwelayo emvelweni, uTesla uzokunikeza inkontileka enkulu.” Umhlaziyi waseMelika uWood Mackenzie ubikezela ukuthi phakathi neminyaka eyishumi, i-lithium iron phosphate (LFP) buyisela i-lithium manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) njengento eyinhloko yokugcina amandla emile.

Kodwa-ke, uMusk uye wasekela isikhathi eside ukukhishwa kwe-cobalt ebhethri, ngakho-ke mhlawumbe lezi zindaba azizona zonke ezimbi kuye.

Ngokusho kwedatha ye-Wood Mackenzie, amabhethri e-lithium iron phosphate (LFP) abalelwa ku-10% wemakethe yokugcina amandla emile ngo-2015. Kusukela ngaleso sikhathi, ukuthandwa kwawo kukhuphuke kakhulu futhi kuzothatha ngaphezu kwe-30% yemakethe ngo-2030.

Lokhu kukhuphuka kwaqala ngenxa yokushoda kwamabhethri nezingxenye ze-NMC ekupheleni kuka-2018 nasekuqaleni konyaka odlule.Njengoba kokubili isitoreji samandla esimile kanye nezimoto zikagesi (ev) zihlangabezane nokusetshenziswa ngokushesha, iqiniso lokuthi le mikhakha emibili yabelana ngekhemikhali yebhethri nakanjani ibangele ukushoda.

Umhlaziyi omkhulu we-Wood Mackenzie uMitalee Gupta uthe: "Ngenxa yokwelulwa komjikelezo wokuphakelwa kwe-NMC kanye nenani eliphansi, abahlinzeki be-LFP sebeqalile ukungena emakethe enemikhawulo ye-NMC ngentengo encintisanayo, ngakho i-LFP iyathandeka kukho kokubili ugesi namandla. ."

Isici esisodwa esishayela ukubusa okulindelekile kwe-LFP kuzoba umehluko phakathi kohlobo lwebhethri elisetshenziselwa ukugcinwa kwamandla kanye nohlobo lwebhethri elisetshenziswa ezimotweni zikagesi, njengoba okokusebenza kuzothinteka ngokuqhubekayo nokukhethekile.

Uhlelo lwamanje lokugcina amandla e-lithium-ion lunembuyiselo enciphayo kanye nezinzuzo zezomnotho ezimbi lapho umjikelezo udlula amahora angu-4-6, ngakho ukugcinwa kwamandla kwesikhathi eside kuyadingeka ngokushesha.UGupta uthe futhi ulindele ukuthi amandla okubuyisa amandla aphezulu kanye nemvamisa ephezulu kuzoza kuqala kune-energy density kanye nokuthembeka kwemakethe yokugcina ugesi emile, okungakhanya kokubili amabhethri e-LFP.

Yize ukukhula kwe-LFP emakethe yamabhethri ezimoto zikagesi kungethusanga njengasemkhakheni wokugcinwa kwamandla okumile, umbiko weWood Mackenzie uveze ukuthi izinhlelo zokusebenza zeselula eziqukethe i-lithium iron phosphate azikwazi ukushaywa indiva.

Leli khemikhali selivele lidume kakhulu emakethe yezimoto zikagesi zaseShayina futhi kulindeleke ukuthi lizuze umhlaba wonke.I-WoodMac ibikezela ukuthi ngo-2025, i-LFP izoba ngaphezu kuka-20% wesamba samabhethri emoto kagesi afakiwe.

Umhlaziyi omkhulu wocwaningo lukaWood Mackenzie, uMilan Thakore, uthe amandla amakhulu okuqhuba ukusetshenziswa kwe-LFP emkhakheni wezimoto zikagesi azovela ekuthuthukisweni kwento yamakhemikhali ngokwesisindo samandla kanye nobuchwepheshe bokupakisha amabhethri.